{"id": 7404, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY price return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 01:22:01", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 01:25:46", "chain_hash": "e88a12f43638064d5e6809a0558e01c22bc2a97900a0a14cc192b6531da6542b", "chain_tx": "3tAcwRqWgTfcchpq12F9eZBxdT2PHziM4BwFaTX3BE52YA868p3bELYxRASpJo3ypY919uqKx5n34kFvukLSWcVK", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}