{"id": 7410, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE (energy ETF) outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 02:21:54", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 05:25:54", "chain_hash": "0611aa9eb702ecb4be89257447b72e2898756a9868a6e383fd1d87a2e1f31f1f", "chain_tx": "5UTdc4o5trrQzfEEq5NgwZK4j46XQ3NdB5SnF7Ttsu5JxmmndQg9ZjiNWmtf5L11LMLCATA6XPd7QpiNSAsbeYyE", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}