{"id": 7413, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE closes higher than SPY over the 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 03:22:02", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.4% vs SPY +0.4% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.0%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-15 05:24:39", "chain_hash": "3964e6dbc22fa9ebc09ef9802c2f44a532d7509dac0c035377e40c182ce018fe", "chain_tx": "2sNo1xD7dPcm2rs9Y7HWKLD1gTy8MNyPREJ3mvnQJ66iEHjryyj6KUszHhoFNpzWdxHTrm27zn3ouYif8jjvfibH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}