{"id": 7451, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 16:22:18", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.0% vs SPY +0.2% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 16:26:35", "chain_hash": "dc8ac3e979f92b055da370dd4240c0fae522a29cc2c7696472a37e1efd69cdd9", "chain_tx": "5VmPQW6otvpGmZAAe9mcDbnBqt5DiqP1vwhUKHD6GBgH5uH4XL4thkhQPtrMBr1wnRS1CMsUet1x2HdSJAhYrPGu", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}