{"id": 7472, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 23:23:25", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.1% vs SPY -0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 23:26:55", "chain_hash": "c3343e633729ccc4b3af26be053d2d2159cef1b0f02c48b863d9dd16f101f02f", "chain_tx": "4aMBmVFrYGhDmGx42BnHdXzZMU4GtWE7XPTPXM17uAXq9wtoYJuCATc69kEXVQLJM1UWmijjRNvePadV9qtxVmUH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}