{"id": 7484, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 03:24:14", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.1% vs SPY -0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 04:27:11", "chain_hash": "149fb84ef0a5d6d49150cd506d2f2eb33cddfc4ed724b90eb1d297c61f59744a", "chain_tx": "2RVvHvUC2mTWNFPcyqkvGs5egshBVLGpJN3ofUfR5eax3uP2exkU5NZf7ZU6ZSh9sv4zoXTx1JmbZTn5g9QGaNEe", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}