{"id": 7490, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 07:24:19", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE -0.8% vs SPY +0.4% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 08:25:59", "chain_hash": "d01f81afe8bfd55a0dddf065e50a0205edf83707f8fa7e3dc6edc032ed199f2e", "chain_tx": "2Cs9qe736pJYEP5LmisPp4DdBWoNsSmhDxvWME9rQWtfcVVUq5nGmE1H8xm2jLsvATGydRhY22KAGPj51xoAC6aJ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}