{"id": 7493, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or tracks SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 09:24:28", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.1% vs SPY -0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 09:27:15", "chain_hash": "c2af3d07769163d1f942225906452aef02c1562ddf1515b56d6d938ebed9eb38", "chain_tx": "38wTbxuW86m9oQDMv1asLJwA9j7e1i5Mq4KsjoERXvK2MAFPnDyKXLjEY1xeaGJco38NNC7U4YLdPxsBwhSZRUXF", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}