{"id": 7509, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: MSFT outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 14:24:33", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 MSFT -0.8% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 14:27:37", "chain_hash": "8704392f4586840b15f050af82dbc8b0f6fc72050a61d186be8065e3ea3c9ac9", "chain_tx": "5dotJEyiFXHHUzJQdSnqL3egda9q7Tuf9raBqUqsa2Byk8CAmvmySQUwzZPP7xaZ3DuLahLt29Bb4qHRrjhHk1rs", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}