{"id": 7535, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: Lean bearish on XLE relative to SPY over 24h, but with low conviction. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >1% over 24h or physical Hormuz blockade is announced/confirmed]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 21:25:06", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +0.9% vs SPY -0.5% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 23:26:56", "chain_hash": "73fe8c6a54203a2bed9dff11e0ab591f9e446797a588bbea85485a2616ad888c", "chain_tx": "gGmQkGbVZoVxL4x12x8XVAFTXMT6ieuyTF5p5NW9r4vwez1iVYYptdUinRQJmxfVZriDvUJDqeioPu55NrsE9uR", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}