{"id": 7538, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED on BTC: Regulatory clarity is long-term supportive, but short-term window (24h) lacks acute catalyst. Lean slightly bullish if risk-on regime confirmed (SPY strength = institutional dip-buying), but uncertain on regime signal. [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h while SPY is up >0.5% (signaling risk-on without crypto dip-buy support)]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 21:25:10", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 bitcoin moved -1.2% ($64,879 \u2192 $64,122)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 21:26:37", "chain_hash": "9821765323106d4d7b67487a589f38dfe504554353e47491cff75c4f52aa10c6", "chain_tx": "28XoDPscWD5FKWm6vu2s1NBMwcCnGPVD3YBPWWUw6tyJh4LmxfwmVqB9tDfkcLw3GZvsrTQoSD6WjDq4NC51JnnY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}