{"id": 7554, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ vs SPY over 48h: Two-sided lean toward QQQ outperformance on rate-cut expectations, but conviction is LOW due to indirect inflation signal and growth-sector momentum decay. [DIRECTION: up, with explicit caveat] [FALSIFY: QQQ underperforms SPY or inflation data is re-revised upward within 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 00:25:24", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 QQQ -3.1% vs SPY -1.5% \u2014 QQQ trailed SPY by 1.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 03:13:43", "chain_hash": "10f439f6191e332ddca2ca50cec57109d461d3831f200b2af3113beaf9057af5", "chain_tx": "3SyRFPnRxBeUqLmLDgN3Fvn3vR8JKwi24wARdw93gH5SUYFQhE2tHxEuhWp2rSXAzVC4er9eqfdgPJRsvgikwVmS", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}