{"id": 7558, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down relative] [FALSIFY: XLE gains more than SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 02:25:30", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.19, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.1% vs SPY -1.5% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 03:13:46", "chain_hash": "ad5edd525729d5b51ffeda33299286a2cc3b3e1a8259eb356b172ab483fc91dc", "chain_tx": "2YC8CZ1zJLwmdvHWJGkYnRXLd5FyfH82Qqj2GoazMVWjaRQJ49XjtKEo4XQgELxMSqprDTPPDnZYj2b3AgkGcH2D", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}