{"id": 7566, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY, or WTI crude closes up 2%+ in the same 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 04:25:24", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.19, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.1% vs SPY -1.5% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 05:13:50", "chain_hash": "52f9f6cb4e9b30bbfe9d398e6e2625a2a9a07add5fffb1b191d56fcce942a82b", "chain_tx": "y4njvLihKHhktwRoeobeaQeDczB8wRAPMptJaWUYe71Ep2PEhsdktChdf2iiMQJ3GoMYEd6ZUqVMDEix3ewrMAC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}