{"id": 7570, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY returns over the next 24h]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 06:25:37", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +0.9% vs SPY -0.5% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 06:27:09", "chain_hash": "aea4297e6778dc01b196ce78815070746bcd4a4fcfb3faaeb4ab33bdc1fc91f7", "chain_tx": "3x1gBkYphaTDSh3gEqeemWmATaQBqMQDm4eXG9Fg7MvvNeeJ5mpsQNLiLQNmHpJE2tamexHivx4f19teJT14HpHa", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}