{"id": 7599, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY or matches SPY returns over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 16:26:20", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.8% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 17:23:02", "chain_hash": "99bd63d15ca3746aad88dde17c9596f484d59d365e7bf81e026da81ec008ace9", "chain_tx": "aB2oH86cq5wHXtivvQmH74trKPA3Q5zqozMCh8aNjxwsKhdoptgPQfvwpjoLMSNWHGNWK9nUV5QC8YwMmJ1Dj8C", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}