{"id": 7601, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE closes higher relative to SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 17:26:05", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.2, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.4% vs SPY -0.9% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 18:23:02", "chain_hash": "d9363b4694a5ffa868496ecb42fbaac7caee06c911a27ecf1eaf8e6a70ec0601", "chain_tx": "2QWXQquydj6xu38pHncDSh56UZuhEuWxxiffhpTkc1RCzfgTciva6uWLdE5MEKreJjTquGB7QwAJiNme3qTQ2g8S", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}