{"id": 7616, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY's return over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 22:26:50", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.84, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +1.6% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 22:32:04", "chain_hash": "f367e1a5ef5c540fa83986e2e5f749365d03c2324fe97cf9737050aecd29590a", "chain_tx": "5FeJpdfGxLsyD9XA6wAGQL7iEcZ1P4yRNbqUM6RToqZvqsxZ9W167GLh7ZmA8NWGzp2F3qpPJkFkXU26SSFGg1a5", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}