{"id": 7635, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 03:26:41", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.6% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 03:32:37", "chain_hash": "bb47a8123bb811318e3a8a311854d2740b8f35d1ac66d4cc121f91cd54f0f86c", "chain_tx": "3mdZd3XMPKFYEtFWgmNCLscKXJY8aVWPiNXc8qziL4dDt5SbmeYBENTCefts9VsTGnXK94mVYzpF8bvfmaHHfN9G", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}