{"id": 7650, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC (crisis-bid proxy) outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: BTC underperforms or trades flat-to-down relative to SPY, or if news escalates to confirmed kinetic event (vessel strike, port closure) triggering equities reversal]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 06:26:50", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.9, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 bitcoin +3.0% vs SPY -1.0% \u2014 bitcoin beat SPY by 4.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-19 07:07:42", "chain_hash": "3b386fcbff11e237905e29f1724e7d8758e8c9c159437f96dfc983c4a44374a3", "chain_tx": "54tY5QfujcJbkMGAf4Jg3mRZ9BQTDsz4G4muhnqKxkwWPobiM6fWaRx6Dn8AiAKzyt2c5w8V1VeFtLwZGbMs1SDr", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}