{"id": 7654, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 07:26:54", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.6% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 08:32:40", "chain_hash": "48d9613427872439179e36fca2c9ecf523417c27ce5cf8c0a60c933c369d92aa", "chain_tx": "5yquayFa3LBYNYcPCjsK3AWGDrb4cziwLhmhdaSXK8CUU8crnDtgVjnuUhAxmEns7epN12nkgFBk65UmH2x5cjN8", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}