{"id": 7666, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 09:27:03", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM -1.1% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.0%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 09:32:52", "chain_hash": "ab7a207a7badaff1b727684358c6c1114532c652c455c7f4d6e34ebe58836dc0", "chain_tx": "aPJ3abBr3f2sABteYdCc3XzzsCB4cQYupAWQSL8NeW7WgD3p3z2TuAs3Gx29UYu2nHLRYo4hCMZsE6CXccT5Tsq", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}