{"id": 7686, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC closes flat-to-lower over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes materially higher (>1% gain) over the next 24h, or Iranian leadership issues formal retaliation statement within 6h and on-chain institutional inflows spike]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 17:27:57", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 bitcoin moved +0.4% ($63,963 \u2192 $64,246)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-18 17:30:45", "chain_hash": "f11494550863cdb30834450caed58b118e17b9d6fe04b7c1c73c7f6bd67d9fdb", "chain_tx": "4T48atJx4uCFcwEofqDUkeJw2SxMn1kpUHX67MnpFdnQM6VLxaFpeS2KUgYMQTWofTR2K9MBE5FXYCfbPMZm8hCC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}