{"id": 7695, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 20:28:21", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.4% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 22:21:08", "chain_hash": "24ac172423c50f4720c0df06e287c79249f2c925d49d3401eb2f4fa6fb220038", "chain_tx": "4WtkUkNrT7VMbLffnf7nudn6dHx1qYJa7ie6AJixMk7WWZ4oHVQjCeyPN3oNTtZ3oFjqNvTRzAKc4ynp1s9BByVY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}