{"id": 7707, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 22:28:16", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.4% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 23:21:09", "chain_hash": "4503a01d972d4b85ac1be41a36f262737edea0ae203616a618dfce6634be8157", "chain_tx": "2hggNNJxobUp6WSwfy8FaGc9iGfNZv1pnCvyBr4CjosZS4tp4Ukcvdvz2Gb37xxGDgoUJY8EQuSxdJVBbqcsxmrY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}