{"id": 7720, "prediction_verbatim": "Ethereum closes flat-to-down over 24h on concurrent geopolitical-escalation cluster (Iran, Ukraine, tariff rhetoric); if risk-off regime manifests at US open Monday, ETH underperformance vs. USD likely extends 48h. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: ETH closes up or holds flat over 24h OR institutional funding rates spike upward during the window, signaling net long entry despite headlines]", "created_at": "2026-07-18 08:28:25", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 could not identify two assets", "resolved_at": "2026-07-19 12:13:09", "chain_hash": "0a12ea8ae4cd94634837e12287c5483fefd22471a02b07e87f464cd53d5e44c2", "chain_tx": "4ancM58PV8t2u7MmVjPHoWELB5K9oLUe5y8ui9Cr9aKwmaMZkNZgr6CLX4Veuxu2N5C8DADdRCg3rK5bQgoyrwi6", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}