{"id": 7807, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY outperforms XLE over 48h [DIRECTION: up (SPY relative)] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 04:13:17", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY +0.7% vs XLE +1.4% \u2014 SPY trailed XLE by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 04:30:40", "chain_hash": "a4d0fa3627b436d4563cd987e32810bca9245adf2ecba558d7daa45692b732f3", "chain_tx": "2vhBCDSPQ3NL4eLXHiDiKXbCP5prFZboMNjQeE5AnaVA33T8L8fhnwPtn1JARJbNvdKMZoobRrQoC8qkEdP4rTnU", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}