{"id": 7852, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY over the next 48h, or CL (crude) breaks above $90 and holds, signaling sustained supply premium]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 17:22:49", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.7% vs SPY +0.6% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 17:57:42", "chain_hash": "3f35e47cdc9ae40eec9ec1060a413b682c7e062466adb138e425cccc61a89ae4", "chain_tx": "5GSnrgWFgFJtajzxgKicHevZG2Q95ecJVNtdDGDaWLRWyymA3pronKUCakuGyrhqeCjuYBoqqQiACDFXigFHAovm", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}