{"id": 7888, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY on a close-to-close basis over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-21 03:32:19", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.2% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-23 04:10:52", "chain_hash": "28d85620dff4eaad9872d20a4efc453a1ca40bc3b36134a337277a7d20f7b8c1", "chain_tx": "dEExQavEKmBYhNa6dk6gmqADfHZbjtJA5S5oGeyyPoMrDTdXvzrYTp8N1VYSXiinMSsfgvTBLaVMs2yzB2RGLNY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}