{"id": 7933, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY returns over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-21 17:33:07", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM -1.5% vs SPY -1.5% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.0%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-23 18:35:45", "chain_hash": "71e53ace584259d9532335a96cfcfe0c276aa37ce1012d11df2128780bfc7e9a", "chain_tx": "2mxeHYT6oviA4JCMtBqm8SMB4ThAVMAWK7e9y5tA97pxz9cfrb3CtJbtaa6eZZZ8ZHm13t1gGUDZ3qqatBSGw5sW", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}