{"id": 7986, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY outperforms XLE over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >1% or SPY closes flat/down while XLE rallies >1%]", "created_at": "2026-07-22 04:30:26", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.21, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY -1.3% vs XLE +1.5% \u2014 SPY trailed XLE by 2.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-24 04:36:36", "chain_hash": "a1b706a9109fc623685406bfaca1ea65deb6d8298eae898ec661f7e7e4a9827c", "chain_tx": "5WuzuKCSxMdZHehiHDFQcqk4QEK6rUMhYLWBfzHBfxvMEZzfyK5TC1meVZTUNhFW5HTuy3GbEL8cCWkzh1BQDVa7", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}