{"id": 8004, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ outperforms BTC+ETH (combined proxy) over 48h [DIRECTION: up] \u2014 leaning into the narrative capital-rotation thesis, but with low confidence. This is two-sided: geopolitical flight-to-crypto could reverse the flow. [FALSIFY: BTC or ETH outperforms QQQ, or crypto shows volume inflow signal during the 48h window].", "created_at": "2026-07-22 07:56:57", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 QQQ -2.4% vs bitcoin -0.6% \u2014 QQQ trailed bitcoin by 1.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-24 08:36:44", "chain_hash": "46040ac5dbbcded55851197b242df329b3e0fe6e75fe027b703c7c69fee88ea7", "chain_tx": "65xRqkhQ674LgjFv9TAgXE1TZCDjrwiwQdVC29j8M3BarZa7RVTpyp29WsA8iAXggfGbLtCN5iXaRjKgNUjw7F6Z", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}