{"id": 8032, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >0.5 percentage points over the 48h window, or SAU-US nuclear deal is rescinded/reinterpreted as escalatory]", "created_at": "2026-07-22 22:06:17", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": null, "resolved_at": null, "chain_hash": "34ee50c22b12158c3960e572a51e59b01b7920acf5e9a6b69e387a8876bea286", "chain_tx": "26HXAVPhPRKHCAXvGbHEUXkHeW4h8t8MmJ2JTwb5xE6rk1T4uKTyHWNcLCiodZe9UmwZkBgNovjXZTt7cQtyJHeP", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}