{"id": 8047, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: Bull case\u2014TSLA outperforms SPY if 8-K reveals guidance raise or AI/margin recovery narrative [DIRECTION: up]. Bear case\u2014TSLA underperforms SPY if profit miss is confirmed forward and margin pressure persists [DIRECTION: down]. Lean bear on 48h horizon. [FALSIFY: TSLA matches SPY returns over 48h (neutral outcome, prediction is inconclusive)]", "created_at": "2026-07-23 01:06:22", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": null, "resolved_at": null, "chain_hash": "b875a82682215a6292806958a551270471ac90c7f9c57076f605fdc85f70df54", "chain_tx": "3fWtqWLU8Y3bv9SooyG2Ap8iomRDoztG2sYxp5VxBqeXRQ3Ye5AnqCtAYvaibtE24AHaoAuUQGufkvJ2qRmHQnMK", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}