{"id": 8450, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-30 07:07:19", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.74, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +1.5% vs SPY +2.4% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 0.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-08-03 07:49:55", "chain_hash": "b78c8b6aaa511bf690d1ed228779e25b8d6c5e529bc82f32af9d4b4eba1e1acb", "chain_tx": "3hyMngphmzN1d5LtMedgScJZaLJcWua3vC5j5GJToQcqkY6K7VUJ1CVrxDHWPrg5Q1486xCsR8n7s9hhLrvgPFL9", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}