{"id": 8469, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY matches or slightly outperforms over 24h; if market opens with VIX <18 and HY spreads <285 bps (risk-on regime intact), SPY stays flat-to-slight-up [DIRECTION: flat] [FALSIFY: SPY closes >1.5% down over 24h, OR VIX spikes >25% from current and credit widens >20 bps intraday]", "created_at": "2026-07-30 18:28:22", "direction": "flat", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-31 21:37:19", "chain_hash": "3d3ef37bd2fab99064a3aa7b225a7a85a9a66d03c0d170743fbd61d288363bb7", "chain_tx": "f6FgasnK4UAVMgecayEQXxqovyjaebzy4hWEbUGwHQQewKEazTfmgqXNUEgCNRxjUitM6EYMwDcEv7dw5ej4KdR", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}