{"id": 8572, "prediction_verbatim": "Bitcoin (BTC) closes lower or flat over 48h amid geopolitical uncertainty, but does not breach support (assume ~$60,500 level based prior regime) [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC rallies above $63,000 or closes +2% or more over 48h despite Iran/Ukraine escalation headlines]", "created_at": "2026-08-01 13:38:44", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 bitcoin moved +0.1% ($63,037 \u2192 $63,100)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-03 14:05:35", "chain_hash": "df05be70b814fa918e68c8ab5ab9a226d8e3a8f4d77fc683d7a36940887000d6", "chain_tx": "4YMsh1kom1zJa36aUxLEzvwuDLADFiWJUSmXayFZk3etvMyWJwpVtvMHAqR1XnzGPm2AutCHhTiovMt2DQQucvMn", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}