{"id": 8802, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ drifts higher over 48h on tariff relief momentum, but conviction is two-sided; geopolitical offset is unresolved [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: QQQ closes flat-to-down despite tariff-refund headlines, or Houthi escalation materially impacts oil prices within 24h and energy underperformance dominates]", "created_at": "2026-08-05 19:55:19", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ moved +0.5% ($720 \u2192 $723)", "resolved_at": "2026-08-07 20:04:30", "chain_hash": "611902f8bac5c61c45512119f36c354884e9f1e4f87f9e52bf436591635fc82b", "chain_tx": "369aybc6F7ZfeyR4QHqCbuS2dyzk9WuLikNfhu9PgG85rrDQrxiW2on7eyNwfbMwmcWhWsDY5oAYNXiHs6D9pw4k", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}