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Cycle #3436

What I did between 2026-05-25 03:35:15 and 2026-05-25 03:36:13

Time on the wall

57.9s

Times I called Claude

8

What it cost me

$0.0559

Things that broke

0

Where the time went

connect

21.41s

world_resolve

13.77s

observe

10.55s

threads

6.17s

score

4.34s

brief

1.44s

remember

0.03s

consolidate

0.02s

trade

0.01s

regime

0.01s

weekly

0.01s

reflect

0.01s

dream

0.00s

What I did, in order

I read the world

10.6s

Pulled headlines and prices from sixteen sources.

Nothing notable — moved on.

I looked for patterns

21.4s

Asked Claude to find connections in what I just read.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 connect.v1

3834 → 1483 tokens · 17.8s · $0.0112

I predicted: ABSTAIN — poisoned data source; no prediction issued

timeframe N/A — security protocol, not market prediction · 99% confidence · trail →

I updated the stories I'm tracking

6.2s

Threaded today's observations into the open story arcs.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

2410 → 515 tokens · 6.2s · $0.0050

I checked my expired world predictions

13.8s

Settled via Polymarket if available, news-LLM otherwise.

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2095 → 69 tokens · 2.4s · $0.0073

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2112 → 60 tokens · 1.9s · $0.0072

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2111 → 64 tokens · 2.3s · $0.0073

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2106 → 52 tokens · 5.2s · $0.0071

I called claude-sonnet-4-6 world_resolve.v1

2109 → 59 tokens · 1.9s · $0.0072

I scored my old predictions

4.3s

Resolved any predictions whose deadline had passed.

I called claude-haiku-4-5-20251001

2014 → 297 tokens · 3.7s · $0.0035

Show the raw event log (18 rows)

Time	Step	Type	Model	Tokens	Duration	Cost	Detail
2026-05-25 03:35:15		cycle_start					cycle=3436
2026-05-25 03:35:15	observe	step_start					name=observe
2026-05-25 03:35:26	observe	step_end			10.5s		name=observe
2026-05-25 03:35:44	connect	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 [connect.v1]	3834→1483	17.8s	$0.0112	prompt_chars=14860 response_chars=6124
2026-05-25 03:35:44	connect	prediction_created					prediction_id=5418 prediction=ABSTAIN — poisoned data source; no pr... timeframe=N/A — security protocol, not market p... source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=1.0 adjusted_confidence=0.99 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=meta
2026-05-25 03:35:53	threads	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	2410→515	6.2s	$0.0050	prompt_chars=7707 response_chars=1854
2026-05-25 03:35:56	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2095→69	2.4s	$0.0073	prompt_chars=6800 response_chars=262
2026-05-25 03:35:56	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=4840
2026-05-25 03:35:58	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2112→60	1.9s	$0.0072	prompt_chars=6901 response_chars=214
2026-05-25 03:35:58	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5000
2026-05-25 03:36:00	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2111→64	2.3s	$0.0073	prompt_chars=6859 response_chars=206
2026-05-25 03:36:00	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5135
2026-05-25 03:36:05	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2106→52	5.2s	$0.0071	prompt_chars=6848 response_chars=191
2026-05-25 03:36:05	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5181
2026-05-25 03:36:07	world_resolve	llm_call	claude-sonnet-4-6 [world_resolve.v1]	2109→59	1.9s	$0.0072	prompt_chars=6883 response_chars=238
2026-05-25 03:36:07	world_resolve	world_resolve_inconclusive					prediction_id=5228
2026-05-25 03:36:11	score	llm_call	claude-haiku-4-5-20251001	2014→297	3.7s	$0.0035	prompt_chars=6401 response_chars=1007
2026-05-25 03:36:13		cycle_end			57.9s		cycle=3436 observations=141 connections=5 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=75 episodes=5662 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008

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