| #11950 | 2026-05-25 15:15:00 | #3460 | | cycle_end | | | | 109.0s | cycle=3460 observations=92 connections=0 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=80 episodes=5679 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.057999999999999996 |
| #11949 | 2026-05-25 15:15:00 | #3460 | | llm_call | gemini-2.0-flash | | $0.16m | 2.0s | prompt_chars=6524 response_chars=976 |
| #11948 | 2026-05-25 15:14:58 | #3460 | reflect | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | | $0.0161 | 16.2s | prompt_chars=8591 response_chars=2470 |
| #11947 | 2026-05-25 15:14:30 | #3460 | learn | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0043 | 9.5s | prompt_chars=3347 response_chars=2687 |
| #11946 | 2026-05-25 15:14:21 | #3460 | score | calibration_updated | | | | | key_count=34 tiers=(dict) biggest_cuts=(list) biggest_boosts=(list) |
| #11945 | 2026-05-25 15:14:21 | #3460 | score | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0090 | 11.4s | prompt_chars=20406 response_chars=3455 |
| #11944 | 2026-05-25 15:14:09 | #3460 | score | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0041 | 6.9s | prompt_chars=6009 response_chars=1653 |
| #11943 | 2026-05-25 15:14:02 | #3460 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11942 | 2026-05-25 15:14:02 | #3460 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0070 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=6936 response_chars=250 |
| #11941 | 2026-05-25 15:14:00 | #3460 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11940 | 2026-05-25 15:14:00 | #3460 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0069 | 2.1s | prompt_chars=6901 response_chars=202 |
| #11939 | 2026-05-25 15:13:58 | #3460 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11938 | 2026-05-25 15:13:58 | #3460 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0071 | 2.1s | prompt_chars=6912 response_chars=207 |
| #11937 | 2026-05-25 15:13:56 | #3460 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11936 | 2026-05-25 15:13:56 | #3460 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0071 | 2.3s | prompt_chars=6954 response_chars=250 |
| #11935 | 2026-05-25 15:13:54 | #3460 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11934 | 2026-05-25 15:13:54 | #3460 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0070 | 8.3s | prompt_chars=6853 response_chars=243 |
| #11933 | 2026-05-25 15:13:45 | #3460 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0056 | 8.8s | prompt_chars=7760 response_chars=2519 |
| #11932 | 2026-05-25 15:13:36 | #3460 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0121 | 20.5s | prompt_chars=18775 response_chars=5994 |
| #11931 | 2026-05-25 15:13:16 | #3460 | observe | step_end | | | | 5.0s | name=observe |
| #11930 | 2026-05-25 15:13:15 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 items=10 |
| #11929 | 2026-05-25 15:13:11 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:12 items=10 |
| #11928 | 2026-05-25 15:13:11 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:12 items=6 |
| #11927 | 2026-05-25 15:13:11 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:13:09 items=1 |
| #11926 | 2026-05-25 15:13:11 | #3460 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11925 | 2026-05-25 15:13:11 | #3460 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3460 |
| #11924 | 2026-05-25 14:43:59 | #3459 | | cycle_end | | | | 48.1s | cycle=3459 observations=104 connections=4 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=82 episodes=5676 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11923 | 2026-05-25 14:43:58 | #3459 | score | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0034 | 2.8s | prompt_chars=7647 response_chars=797 |
| #11922 | 2026-05-25 14:43:54 | #3459 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11921 | 2026-05-25 14:43:54 | #3459 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0073 | 2.4s | prompt_chars=6551 response_chars=241 |
| #11920 | 2026-05-25 14:43:52 | #3459 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11919 | 2026-05-25 14:43:52 | #3459 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0072 | 2.0s | prompt_chars=6516 response_chars=198 |
| #11918 | 2026-05-25 14:43:50 | #3459 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11917 | 2026-05-25 14:43:50 | #3459 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0073 | 2.2s | prompt_chars=6527 response_chars=201 |
| #11916 | 2026-05-25 14:43:48 | #3459 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11915 | 2026-05-25 14:43:48 | #3459 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0072 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=6569 response_chars=184 |
| #11914 | 2026-05-25 14:43:46 | #3459 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11913 | 2026-05-25 14:43:46 | #3459 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0071 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=6468 response_chars=162 |
| #11912 | 2026-05-25 14:43:44 | #3459 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0064 | 9.3s | prompt_chars=7564 response_chars=3211 |
| #11911 | 2026-05-25 14:43:34 | #3459 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5437 prediction=ABSTAIN—tech sentiment clustering wit... timeframe=ABSTAIN source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.52 adjusted_confidence=0.5642 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional |
| #11910 | 2026-05-25 14:43:34 | #3459 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5436 prediction=WTI crude oil higher within 48h (reve... timeframe=48h source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.68 adjusted_confidence=0.8806 direction=up regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional |
| #11909 | 2026-05-25 14:43:34 | #3459 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0102 | 17.0s | prompt_chars=14292 response_chars=5068 |
| #11908 | 2026-05-25 14:43:17 | #3459 | observe | step_end | | | | 6.1s | name=observe |
| #11907 | 2026-05-25 14:43:11 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:12 items=10 |
| #11906 | 2026-05-25 14:43:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:14 items=10 |
| #11905 | 2026-05-25 14:43:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:12 items=6 |
| #11904 | 2026-05-25 14:43:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:13:09 items=1 |
| #11903 | 2026-05-25 14:43:10 | #3459 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11902 | 2026-05-25 14:43:10 | #3459 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3459 |
| #11901 | 2026-05-25 14:14:21 | #3458 | | cycle_end | | | | 70.5s | cycle=3458 observations=93 connections=4 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=80 episodes=5676 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11900 | 2026-05-25 14:14:19 | #3458 | learn | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0023 | 4.2s | prompt_chars=2689 response_chars=1333 |
| #11899 | 2026-05-25 14:14:15 | #3458 | score | calibration_updated | | | | | key_count=34 tiers=(dict) biggest_cuts=(list) biggest_boosts=(list) |
| #11898 | 2026-05-25 14:14:15 | #3458 | score | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0091 | 9.6s | prompt_chars=20755 response_chars=3367 |
| #11897 | 2026-05-25 14:14:05 | #3458 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11896 | 2026-05-25 14:14:05 | #3458 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0074 | 3.1s | prompt_chars=7423 response_chars=226 |
| #11895 | 2026-05-25 14:14:02 | #3458 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11894 | 2026-05-25 14:14:02 | #3458 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0074 | 5.3s | prompt_chars=7388 response_chars=217 |
| #11893 | 2026-05-25 14:13:57 | #3458 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11892 | 2026-05-25 14:13:57 | #3458 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0075 | 3.2s | prompt_chars=7399 response_chars=189 |
| #11891 | 2026-05-25 14:13:54 | #3458 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11890 | 2026-05-25 14:13:54 | #3458 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0075 | 2.3s | prompt_chars=7441 response_chars=222 |
| #11889 | 2026-05-25 14:13:51 | #3458 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11888 | 2026-05-25 14:13:51 | #3458 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0073 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=7340 response_chars=193 |
| #11887 | 2026-05-25 14:13:49 | #3458 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0057 | 9.8s | prompt_chars=7887 response_chars=2555 |
| #11886 | 2026-05-25 14:13:39 | #3458 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5435 prediction=ABSTAIN: Geopolitical narrative prese... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.51 adjusted_confidence=0.59772 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional |
| #11885 | 2026-05-25 14:13:37 | #3458 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5434 prediction=WTI crude oil prices remain lower (be... timeframe=48h source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.64 adjusted_confidence=0.8288 direction=down regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional |
| #11884 | 2026-05-25 14:13:37 | #3458 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0114 | 21.0s | prompt_chars=14551 response_chars=5928 |
| #11883 | 2026-05-25 14:13:16 | #3458 | observe | step_end | | | | 5.4s | name=observe |
| #11882 | 2026-05-25 14:13:11 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:12 items=10 |
| #11881 | 2026-05-25 14:13:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:12 items=6 |
| #11880 | 2026-05-25 14:13:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:43:14 items=10 |
| #11879 | 2026-05-25 14:13:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:13:09 items=1 |
| #11878 | 2026-05-25 14:13:10 | #3458 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11877 | 2026-05-25 14:13:10 | #3458 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3458 |
| #11876 | 2026-05-25 13:44:03 | #3457 | | cycle_end | | | | 52.9s | cycle=3457 observations=101 connections=0 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=79 episodes=5675 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11875 | 2026-05-25 13:44:02 | #3457 | | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | importance.v1 | $0.0018 | 1.5s | prompt_chars=5498 response_chars=7 |
| #11874 | 2026-05-25 13:44:00 | #3457 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11873 | 2026-05-25 13:44:00 | #3457 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0066 | 1.8s | prompt_chars=6069 response_chars=217 |
| #11872 | 2026-05-25 13:43:58 | #3457 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11871 | 2026-05-25 13:43:58 | #3457 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0066 | 2.2s | prompt_chars=6034 response_chars=203 |
| #11870 | 2026-05-25 13:43:56 | #3457 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11869 | 2026-05-25 13:43:56 | #3457 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0067 | 2.0s | prompt_chars=6045 response_chars=184 |
| #11868 | 2026-05-25 13:43:54 | #3457 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11867 | 2026-05-25 13:43:54 | #3457 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0067 | 2.0s | prompt_chars=6087 response_chars=202 |
| #11866 | 2026-05-25 13:43:52 | #3457 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11865 | 2026-05-25 13:43:52 | #3457 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0066 | 1.8s | prompt_chars=5986 response_chars=215 |
| #11864 | 2026-05-25 13:43:50 | #3457 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0065 | 10.1s | prompt_chars=7594 response_chars=3087 |
| #11863 | 2026-05-25 13:43:40 | #3457 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0111 | 19.5s | prompt_chars=13838 response_chars=6023 |
| #11862 | 2026-05-25 13:43:20 | #3457 | observe | step_end | | | | 10.4s | name=observe |
| #11861 | 2026-05-25 13:43:14 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 items=10 |
| #11860 | 2026-05-25 13:43:12 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 items=10 |
| #11859 | 2026-05-25 13:43:12 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 items=6 |
| #11858 | 2026-05-25 13:43:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 13:13:09 items=1 |
| #11857 | 2026-05-25 13:43:10 | #3457 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11856 | 2026-05-25 13:43:10 | #3457 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3457 |
| #11855 | 2026-05-25 13:15:50 | #3456 | | cycle_end | | | | 161.2s | cycle=3456 observations=99 connections=0 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=79 episodes=5675 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11854 | 2026-05-25 13:14:00 | #3456 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11853 | 2026-05-25 13:14:00 | #3456 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0073 | 1.8s | prompt_chars=7317 response_chars=210 |
| #11852 | 2026-05-25 13:13:58 | #3456 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11851 | 2026-05-25 13:13:58 | #3456 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0073 | 2.5s | prompt_chars=7282 response_chars=202 |
| #11850 | 2026-05-25 13:13:56 | #3456 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11849 | 2026-05-25 13:13:56 | #3456 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0075 | 2.4s | prompt_chars=7293 response_chars=232 |
| #11848 | 2026-05-25 13:13:53 | #3456 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11847 | 2026-05-25 13:13:53 | #3456 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0074 | 2.2s | prompt_chars=7335 response_chars=246 |
| #11846 | 2026-05-25 13:13:51 | #3456 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11845 | 2026-05-25 13:13:51 | #3456 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0073 | 2.2s | prompt_chars=7234 response_chars=200 |
| #11844 | 2026-05-25 13:13:49 | #3456 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0061 | 9.8s | prompt_chars=7781 response_chars=2966 |
| #11843 | 2026-05-25 13:13:39 | #3456 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0085 | 8.6s | prompt_chars=22205 response_chars=1996 |
| #11842 | 2026-05-25 13:13:30 | #3456 | observe | step_end | | | | 20.6s | name=observe |
| #11841 | 2026-05-25 13:13:10 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 11:43:10 items=10 |
| #11840 | 2026-05-25 13:13:09 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 items=1 |
| #11839 | 2026-05-25 13:13:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 12:13:12 items=10 |
| #11838 | 2026-05-25 13:13:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 07:43:07 items=6 |
| #11837 | 2026-05-25 13:13:09 | #3456 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11836 | 2026-05-25 13:13:09 | #3456 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3456 |
| #11835 | 2026-05-25 12:44:03 | #3455 | | cycle_end | | | | 54.6s | cycle=3455 observations=102 connections=5 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=79 episodes=5675 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.028 |
| #11834 | 2026-05-25 12:44:02 | #3455 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11833 | 2026-05-25 12:44:02 | #3455 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0070 | 2.0s | prompt_chars=6430 response_chars=205 |
| #11832 | 2026-05-25 12:44:00 | #3455 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11831 | 2026-05-25 12:44:00 | #3455 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0072 | 2.3s | prompt_chars=6395 response_chars=267 |
| #11830 | 2026-05-25 12:43:58 | #3455 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11829 | 2026-05-25 12:43:58 | #3455 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0071 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=6406 response_chars=191 |
| #11828 | 2026-05-25 12:43:56 | #3455 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11827 | 2026-05-25 12:43:56 | #3455 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0071 | 2.6s | prompt_chars=6448 response_chars=241 |
| #11826 | 2026-05-25 12:43:53 | #3455 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11825 | 2026-05-25 12:43:53 | #3455 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0070 | 2.2s | prompt_chars=6347 response_chars=211 |
| #11824 | 2026-05-25 12:43:51 | #3455 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0064 | 12.3s | prompt_chars=7515 response_chars=3074 |
| #11823 | 2026-05-25 12:43:39 | #3455 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5433 prediction=ABSTAIN — US equity markets are close... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.58 adjusted_confidence=0.5956599999999999 direction=None regime=crisis prediction_type=directional |
| #11822 | 2026-05-25 12:43:38 | #3455 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5432 prediction=Brent crude rebounds 2-4% in 24h as m... timeframe=24h source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.62 adjusted_confidence=0.84506 direction=None regime=crisis prediction_type=directional |
| #11821 | 2026-05-25 12:43:38 | #3455 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0129 | 19.1s | prompt_chars=21306 response_chars=6035 |
| #11820 | 2026-05-25 12:43:19 | #3455 | observe | step_end | | | | 10.1s | name=observe |
| #11819 | 2026-05-25 12:43:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 11:43:10 items=10 |
| #11818 | 2026-05-25 12:43:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 12:13:12 items=10 |
| #11817 | 2026-05-25 12:43:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 07:43:07 items=6 |
| #11816 | 2026-05-25 12:43:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 05:13:05 items=1 |
| #11815 | 2026-05-25 12:43:09 | #3455 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11814 | 2026-05-25 12:43:09 | #3455 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3455 |
| #11813 | 2026-05-25 12:14:16 | #3454 | | cycle_end | | | | 67.6s | cycle=3454 observations=107 connections=0 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=77 episodes=5675 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11812 | 2026-05-25 12:14:15 | #3454 | learn | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0046 | 8.3s | prompt_chars=4126 response_chars=2900 |
| #11811 | 2026-05-25 12:14:07 | #3454 | score | calibration_updated | | | | | key_count=34 tiers=(dict) biggest_cuts=(list) biggest_boosts=(list) |
| #11810 | 2026-05-25 12:14:07 | #3454 | score | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0091 | 9.6s | prompt_chars=20667 response_chars=3493 |
| #11809 | 2026-05-25 12:13:57 | #3454 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11808 | 2026-05-25 12:13:57 | #3454 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0067 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=6497 response_chars=226 |
| #11807 | 2026-05-25 12:13:55 | #3454 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11806 | 2026-05-25 12:13:55 | #3454 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0068 | 1.9s | prompt_chars=6462 response_chars=226 |
| #11805 | 2026-05-25 12:13:53 | #3454 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11804 | 2026-05-25 12:13:53 | #3454 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0068 | 2.1s | prompt_chars=6473 response_chars=211 |
| #11803 | 2026-05-25 12:13:51 | #3454 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11802 | 2026-05-25 12:13:51 | #3454 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0069 | 6.0s | prompt_chars=6515 response_chars=243 |
| #11801 | 2026-05-25 12:13:45 | #3454 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11800 | 2026-05-25 12:13:45 | #3454 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0067 | 3.6s | prompt_chars=6414 response_chars=223 |
| #11799 | 2026-05-25 12:13:41 | #3454 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0063 | 11.3s | prompt_chars=7561 response_chars=3328 |
| #11798 | 2026-05-25 12:13:30 | #3454 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0070 | 9.6s | prompt_chars=13952 response_chars=2573 |
| #11797 | 2026-05-25 12:13:20 | #3454 | observe | step_end | | | | 11.8s | name=observe |
| #11796 | 2026-05-25 12:13:12 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 items=10 |
| #11795 | 2026-05-25 12:13:09 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 11:43:10 items=10 |
| #11794 | 2026-05-25 12:13:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 07:43:07 items=6 |
| #11793 | 2026-05-25 12:13:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 05:13:05 items=1 |
| #11792 | 2026-05-25 12:13:08 | #3454 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11791 | 2026-05-25 12:13:08 | #3454 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3454 |
| #11790 | 2026-05-25 11:43:58 | #3453 | | cycle_end | | | | 49.7s | cycle=3453 observations=109 connections=5 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=79 episodes=5673 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11789 | 2026-05-25 11:43:57 | #3453 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11788 | 2026-05-25 11:43:57 | #3453 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0061 | 2.6s | prompt_chars=5784 response_chars=206 |
| #11787 | 2026-05-25 11:43:54 | #3453 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11786 | 2026-05-25 11:43:54 | #3453 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0060 | 2.1s | prompt_chars=5749 response_chars=181 |
| #11785 | 2026-05-25 11:43:52 | #3453 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11784 | 2026-05-25 11:43:52 | #3453 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0062 | 2.0s | prompt_chars=5760 response_chars=187 |
| #11783 | 2026-05-25 11:43:50 | #3453 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11782 | 2026-05-25 11:43:50 | #3453 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0062 | 3.4s | prompt_chars=5802 response_chars=241 |
| #11781 | 2026-05-25 11:43:47 | #3453 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11780 | 2026-05-25 11:43:47 | #3453 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0062 | 2.1s | prompt_chars=5701 response_chars=237 |
| #11779 | 2026-05-25 11:43:44 | #3453 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0060 | 8.9s | prompt_chars=7447 response_chars=2767 |
| #11778 | 2026-05-25 11:43:35 | #3453 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5431 prediction=ABSTAIN — Geopolitical bifurcation (I... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.38 adjusted_confidence=0.51794 direction=None regime=crisis prediction_type=directional |
| #11777 | 2026-05-25 11:43:35 | #3453 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5430 prediction=Brent crude oil remains below $100/bb... timeframe=24h source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.72 adjusted_confidence=0.98136 direction=down regime=crisis prediction_type=directional |
| #11776 | 2026-05-25 11:43:35 | #3453 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0113 | 17.9s | prompt_chars=14342 response_chars=5791 |
| #11775 | 2026-05-25 11:43:17 | #3453 | observe | step_end | | | | 8.5s | name=observe |
| #11774 | 2026-05-25 11:43:10 | — | | cache_miss | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 items=10 |
| #11773 | 2026-05-25 11:43:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 10:43:09 items=10 |
| #11772 | 2026-05-25 11:43:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fred ttl_seconds=21600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 07:43:07 items=6 |
| #11771 | 2026-05-25 11:43:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=fear_greed ttl_seconds=28800 fetched_at=2026-05-25 05:13:05 items=1 |
| #11770 | 2026-05-25 11:43:08 | #3453 | observe | step_start | | | | | name=observe |
| #11769 | 2026-05-25 11:43:08 | #3453 | | cycle_start | | | | | cycle=3453 |
| #11768 | 2026-05-25 11:14:09 | #3452 | | cycle_end | | | | 60.6s | cycle=3452 observations=103 connections=5 threads_active=20 pending_predictions=77 episodes=5673 step_durations=(dict) est_cost=0.008 |
| #11767 | 2026-05-25 11:14:07 | #3452 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5228 |
| #11766 | 2026-05-25 11:14:07 | #3452 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0076 | 4.4s | prompt_chars=7528 response_chars=234 |
| #11765 | 2026-05-25 11:14:03 | #3452 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5181 |
| #11764 | 2026-05-25 11:14:03 | #3452 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0075 | 2.1s | prompt_chars=7493 response_chars=200 |
| #11763 | 2026-05-25 11:14:01 | #3452 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5135 |
| #11762 | 2026-05-25 11:14:01 | #3452 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0078 | 2.0s | prompt_chars=7504 response_chars=239 |
| #11761 | 2026-05-25 11:13:59 | #3452 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=5000 |
| #11760 | 2026-05-25 11:13:59 | #3452 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0077 | 4.6s | prompt_chars=7546 response_chars=259 |
| #11759 | 2026-05-25 11:13:54 | #3452 | world_resolve | world_resolve_inconclusive | | | | | prediction_id=4840 |
| #11758 | 2026-05-25 11:13:54 | #3452 | world_resolve | llm_call | claude-sonnet-4-6 | world_resolve.v1 | $0.0074 | 1.8s | prompt_chars=7445 response_chars=193 |
| #11757 | 2026-05-25 11:13:52 | #3452 | threads | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | | $0.0058 | 8.9s | prompt_chars=7872 response_chars=2734 |
| #11756 | 2026-05-25 11:13:43 | #3452 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5429 prediction=ABSTAIN — data source compromised by ... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=1.0 adjusted_confidence=0.99 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional |
| #11755 | 2026-05-25 11:13:42 | #3452 | connect | prediction_created | | | | | prediction_id=5428 prediction=ABSTAIN — duplicate observations of c... timeframe=N/A source_mind=synthesis thread_id=None raw_confidence=0.5 adjusted_confidence=0.6415 direction=None regime=risk_on prediction_type=directional |
| #11754 | 2026-05-25 11:13:41 | #3452 | connect | llm_call | claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 | connect.v1 | $0.0103 | 14.8s | prompt_chars=16076 response_chars=4508 |
| #11753 | 2026-05-25 11:13:27 | #3452 | observe | step_end | | | | 18.6s | name=observe |
| #11752 | 2026-05-25 11:13:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=github_trending ttl_seconds=7200 fetched_at=2026-05-25 09:43:09 items=10 |
| #11751 | 2026-05-25 11:13:08 | — | | cache_hit | | | | | source=sec_edgar ttl_seconds=3600 fetched_at=2026-05-25 10:43:09 items=10 |