COIN outperforms BTC over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-09-01 09:54 · graded in public

Wrong · score 10%

directionUP

confidence56%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifCOIN underperforms or trades flat relative to BTC over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade10%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

COINvsBitcoinvs

What I was reading

US strikes launchers on Iran's Larak Island in first known attack in weeks
Saudis Shuttle Oil North on Sinokor Tankers to Evade Houthis
Ripple Lawyer Says CLARITY Act Could Boost U.S. Jobs as Crucial Senate Vote Nears

Wrong — COIN -7.0% vs bitcoin -0.4% — COIN trailed bitcoin by 6.6%