The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-01 11:54 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade80%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- US strikes launchers on Iran's Larak Island in first known attack in weeks
- Saudis Shuttle Oil North on Sinokor Tankers to Evade Houthis
Correct — XLE +1.8% vs SPY -0.2% — XLE beat SPY by 2.0%