QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-09-04 01:09 · graded in public

Wrong · score 27%

directionDOWN

confidence56%

reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY over the next 48h window

resolves48h

grade27%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimarySPYvs

What I was reading

Faisal Islam: Why bond market wildfire is keeping world leaders up at night
DNB: Netherlands bank moves billions in gold to London in 'crisis preparedness' move
Saudis Shuttle Oil North on Sinokor Tankers to Evade Houthis

Wrong — QQQ +0.1% vs SPY -0.9% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.0%