The call FLAT
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-08 10:30 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
direction—
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes flat-to-outperforming SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade28%
QQQprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Canada braces for prolonged trade war as counter-tariffs on US take effect
- What to know about Canada's escalating trade war with the U.S
- How South Korea finds itself trapped in the US-Iran war
Wrong — QQQ -0.4% vs SPY -1.0% — QQQ beat SPY by 0.6%