— QQQ closes higher over 48h, driven by AI narrative relief, but this is a lean against headwind (tariff conce

The call ▲ UP

— QQQ closes higher over 48h, driven by AI narrative relief, but this is a lean against headwind (tariff concerns, sticky macro regime)..

Made 2026-09-09 09:43 · graded in public

Wrong · score 26%

directionUP

confidence51%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ closes flat or down over 48h, or divergence vs SPY reverses (QQQ underperforms SPY despite AI headlines)

resolves48h

grade26%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimary

What I was reading

Wrong — QQQ moved -1.3% ($718 → $709)