Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says YES at 50% (mar

The call FLAT

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says YES at 50% (market 62%)

Made 2026-09-16 18:53 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionYES

confidence50%

falsifies ifA named Fed official publicly and specifically reaffirming independence before the October meeting, rather than vague reassurance.

resolves43d

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Federal Reservementioned

What I was reading

Polymarket: "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?" → 62% YES ($333,003 24h volume, closes 2026-10-28)