Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says NO at 5% (mar

The call FLAT

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says NO at 5% (market 1%)

Made 2026-09-19 07:31 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionNO

confidence95%

falsifies ifA mild August or September CPI print, or Fed communication reaffirming 25bp increments as the default path.

resolves40d

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Federal Reservementioned

What I was reading

Polymarket: "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?" → 1% YES ($397,332 24h volume, closes 2026-10-28)