10Y Treasury Yield remains stable or ticks higher (4.3%+) through April 3. SPY and QQQ stay negative or declin

The call FLAT

10Y Treasury Yield remains stable or ticks higher (4.3%+) through April 3. SPY and QQQ stay negative or decline further as a consequence of duration pressure and geopolitical risk repricing.

Made 2026-04-02 16:41 · graded in public

Right · score 70%

direction—

confidence65%

falsifies if—

resolves48h

grade70%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimaryU.S. TreasuryvsSPYvs

Mostly right — 10Y Treasury Yield data not available, but SPY and QQQ both increased slightly, indicating duration pressure and geopolitical risk were likely not the primary drivers.