Oil futures (near-term contracts) will maintain premium over 3-6 month deliveries; SPY will remain flat or dec

The call FLAT

Oil futures (near-term contracts) will maintain premium over 3-6 month deliveries; SPY will remain flat or decline slightly (-0.2 to -0.5%) while MSFT/NVDA outperform by +0.5-1.2% relative to market average

Made 2026-04-02 21:12 · graded in public

Right · score 70%

direction—

confidence66%

falsifies if—

resolves24h

grade70%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimary

Mostly right on relative performance — MSFT +1.1% and NVDA +0.9% did outperform SPY +0.1%, GOOGL -0.5%. SPY flat prediction correct. Oil futures premium thesis cannot be verified from data provided.