The call ▼ DOWN
SPY will decline by >0.5% from current levels within 48h if Iran military escalation produces a second-order incident
Made 2026-04-03 14:49 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryIranmentioned
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